My bookmarks

Pins are saved using cookies. Deleting them from your browser will delete your preferences.

Menu

Reshaping of the real estate risk premium: the move towards segmentation of the real estate market

11 January 2021

By Virginie Wallut, Director of Real Estate Research and Sustainable Investment at La Française Real Estate Managers

Despite the unprecedented shock caused by the health crisis, real estate is still as attractive as ever thanks to a high real estate risk premium, i.e., the difference between the rental yield on real estate assets upon their acquisition and the risk-free rate. With the sovereign bond rate close to zero in Europe, the European real estate risk premium stood at 316 bps (1) at the end of September, which is 68% higher than its long-term average which stands at 188 bps. European monetary policy should prolong the low levels of sovereign rates in 2021, and therefore maintain the attractiveness of real estate.

A new perception of the risks related to the holding of real estate assets is however emerging and it should lead to the reshaping of the risk premium in a way which is specific to each asset. Consequently, it will no longer be possible to talk of the real estate market as a whole. Significant divergences in trajectories are expected to appear between real estate asset classes and within each asset class.
Whereas up until 2019 the additional return on secondary assets diminished as the rates of return on core and secondary assets converged (Graph 1), the health crisis should bring a new hierarchy of rates in its wake, highlighting the polarization of the markets between core assets and secondary assets. At the end of the third quarter of 2020, the additional return offered by secondary assets remained at a low level of 50 bps compared to a long-term average of 145 bps.

(1) Q3 2020 data, PMA  

La Française Group provides access to the expertise of a number of asset management companies around the world. To provide you with the most relevant information, we have developed an interface to present the full range of products available for your investor profile and country of residence.
Please indicate your profile
1
Country
2
Language
3
Profile
Your country of residence
Your language
Your profile
<p class="new-disclaimer__legal-notice">Before consulting this website, for your protection and in your interest, please read the “<a href="en/legal-notice/" target="_blank">disclaimer</a>” and “<a href="en/regulatory-information/" target="_blank">current regulations</a>” carefully. This information explains certain legal and regulatory restrictions which apply to individual and professional investors according to local law. By accessing this site, in my non-professional or professional capacity, I acknowledge that I have read and accept the terms and conditions of use. Pursuant to the application of the European Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (“MiFID”), please state to which category of investor you belong&nbsp;:</p>
<p class="new-disclaimer__legal-notice">Before consulting this website, for your protection and in your interest, please read the “<a href="en/legal-notice/" target="_blank">disclaimer</a>” and “<a href="en/regulatory-information/" target="_blank">current regulations</a>” carefully. This information explains certain legal and regulatory restrictions which apply to individual and professional investors according to local law. By accessing this site, in my non-professional or professional capacity, I acknowledge that I have read and accept the terms and conditions of use. Pursuant to the application of the European Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (“MiFID”), please state to which category of investor you belong&nbsp;:</p>
By continuing browsing on this website, you accept the use of cookies and other tracing devices s as to allow you to receive information suited to your profile, facilitate information sharing on social networks, guarantee the best browsing experience possible and to create statistics. To find out more, we invite you to consult our Privacy and Cookies policy. Find out more.