Views and Ideas

Post FOMC Commentary

14 June 2018

The FOMC raised short-term interest rates to 1.75% - 2% as expected and gave a slightly hawkish overall message.

As expected, the updated Summary of Economic Projections showed a more optimistic view on the US economy and raised the outlook on growth and inflation. The Fed expects Core PCE to reach its target over the next 3 years.

The median dot rose by 25bp in 2018 and 2019, which for the latter, came as a surprise. The FOMC expects now five more hikes until the end of 2019. Despite those changes, the market has not moved much and is currently pricing just over 3 hikes over the same period. The gap seems a bit too wide.

The FED raised the IOER rate by 20bp as expected.

The statement was also on the hawkish side: no longer making reference to market-based measures of inflation remaining low, and the statement reflects more confidence on future adjustments of short-term interest rates. 

Finally, the Chairman J Powell said that there will be a press conference after every FOMC meeting beginning in January 2019. 

Les sites du groupe
My bookmarks

Pins are saved using cookies. Deleting them from your browser will delete your preferences.

La Française Group provides access to the expertise of a number of asset management companies around the world. To provide you with the most relevant information, we have developed an interface to present the full range of products available for your investor profile and country of residence.
Please indicate your profile
1
Country
2
Language
3
Profile
Your country of residence
Your language
Your profile
<p class="new-disclaimer__legal-notice">Before consulting this website, for your protection and in your interest, please read the “<a href="en/legal-notice/" target="_blank">disclaimer</a>” and “<a href="en/regulatory-information/" target="_blank">current regulations</a>” carefully. This information explains certain legal and regulatory restrictions which apply to individual and professional investors according to local law. By accessing this site, in my non-professional or professional capacity, I acknowledge that I have read and accept the terms and conditions of use. Pursuant to the application of the European Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (“MiFID”), please state to which category of investor you belong&nbsp;:</p>